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The Elite are FINALLY Waking Up to the Fact That They are Flying Blind

 
 
Reply Sat 3 Oct, 2015 11:28 pm
They have been relying on polling, but polling is no longer working very well.
Quote:
Polls for the 2016 U.S. presidential race have been defying all expectations: Donald Trump as the persistent Republican frontrunner even as he insults large swaths of the country and brushes off policy questions; Hillary Clinton haunted by an email controversy Democrats shrug off while a Vermont socialist keeps gaining on her.
Are the polls correct? While that is hardly a new question, doubts are intensifying after a series of high-profile misfires around the world in the past year, notably in Greece, Israel and the UK. As politics and business lean increasingly on surveys and data, technological and social shifts are combining to challenge polls’ reliability in an entirely new way. Polling professionals have no solution; investors are wary.
"There isn’t a pollster out there who thinks about this seriously who isn’t a little bit uneasy," said Kirby Goidel, editor of the book "Political Polling in the Digital Age." Interviews with more than a dozen pollsters in the U.S. and around the world revealed similar anxiety.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-09-29/flaws-in-polling-data-exposed-as-u-s-campaign-season-heats-up

The fact that they completely missed the rise of Trump/Carson/Sanders/Fiorina was the last straw. I am not the only one who knew that they were disconnected a few years ago. The elite dont seem to be as smart as they think they are. Drunk
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Real Music
 
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Reply Sun 4 Oct, 2015 05:14 pm
@hawkeye10,
I am not sure if these polls in modern day U.S. elections are dependable or not when it comes to predicting election results accurately. But, as a side note Nate Silver seems to be the most accurate source for predicting US elections correctly in modern day US elections. I believe he accurately predicted every state that Obama won correctly except for one state. I think he had similar results in House seats and Senate seats. His high rate of accuracy covers multiple years and multiple election cycles. So, forget about the polls. Just ask Nate Silvers what he is predicting.
hawkeye10
 
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Reply Sun 4 Oct, 2015 05:51 pm
@Real Music,
No one is infallible, and since not everyone is going to take nate Silvers word as gospel your suggestion does not solve the problem of the elite not knowing where the little people are.
Real Music
 
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Reply Sun 4 Oct, 2015 11:27 pm
@hawkeye10,
I agree that the elite, especially corporate America don't give a damn about the working class everyday people. That couldn't be any more obvious. Nate Silvers is not 100 percent accurate with his election predictions. No one is a 100 percent accurate. But, he has been pretty close to being perfect. What is Nate Silvers doing to predict these elections so accurately, while these pollsters are more hit and miss and less reliable?
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