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Wed 26 May, 2004 07:34 am
Could anyone explain how this is applied to stocks evaluation.
Done some search on google but couldnt come up with any reasonable
description.
Not real sure what you're after here ...
FFT is an algebraic computation method which can be used to analyze a number of selected discrete data points across a selected given time period, outputting the result of the computation process as conventional X/Y graphing coordinates, more or less. It can be applied to just about anything for which event and time can be correlated. As with most math, "garbage in = garbage out". To obtain meaningful information, the selected data points and their relationships to one another would have to be both comprehensive and statistically significant. Just looking at price-vs-time would be an example of a garbage input. For each stock or index considered, numerous data points would be required. The trick would be to figure out just exactly which data points would be statiscally significant; everything from an issue's earning history, market history, relationship to issues within the same and other market segments, etc, to the weather and the general news headlines on a given day could and would be significant data points.
The Kondratieff Wave
also known as the K-Wave
Basically shows from 1790 - present, wholesale prices move in a 52 year cycle.
timberlandko is also right. It's used with regression because when you look at stock chart, the prices move up and down.
The book: Trading Systems and Methods by Perry Kaufman has a good section on cycle analysis using sine and cosine waves (even gets into some basic calculus). as a side note, it also has an astrology section (i.e. tracking the dow using saturn's path and other weird stuff)
Honestly, I think you're better off just looking at what you think the cycle will look like unless you need to write a trading program. If regression could be used to predict stock prices, we'd all be rich.