Here's a thread for all 3 of us here who are "chart & graph people"!
(that'd be 4 of us if nimh was still around.)
But I've just been sitting here staring at these charts, trying to connect the various dots & make sense of it all. What do these charts tell us about 2011 & what's to follow? (I confess I don't feel wildly optimistic.)
These are Alan Kohler's (the Oz ABC's finance analyst) top charts from 2011. (He's a real chart & graph man, often using them to illustrate his points during his segment on the 7 pm news)
Some of these charts are specifically about Australia, but quite a few aren't.
Anyway, take a look if you're interested, skip the thread if not .... & make any comments & predictions based on your observations, if so inclined ....
I hope I haven't ruined you day.
Cheers & welcome to 2012!
Top 10 charts of 2011
By ABC's Alan Kohler
Posted December 30, 2011 10:11:58
The year 2011 has almost drawn to a close. And what a turbulent year it was. Alan Kohler, a man who loves a good chart, looks back on his favourite charts of 2011 and what they say about where we’ve been and where we’re heading.
Share price comparisons:
Are share prices cheap or expensive after the big fall that occurred in 2008? Depends on your time frame. Compared to the post-1985 average valuation, they're cheap. Compared to the pre-1985 average they're a bit expensive. Compared to the bottoms that usually happen after strong bull markets (5-7), they're very expensive.
The Gloomy Words Index:
What better way to measure the economy than the Fed Gloomy Words index which measures the gloominess of the members of the Federal Open Markets Committee, going by the minutes of their meetings?
The deficit/debt scatter graph:
This year was all about sovereign debt and government deficits. This chart graphically shows the worst (Japan) and the best (Australia) and the OECD average.
The debt ceiling and US presidents:
In August America got a fright when the Republican-controlled Congress refused to raise the debt ceiling to allow the government to borrow more. This chart shows that the debt ceiling was increased by both Republican and Democrat presidents
The household debt high:
Australia's government debt may be among the world's lowest, but not our household debt - it was among the highest, although we've been overtaken since then.
US federal government spending as a percentage of GDP:
It's been heading inexorably higher for 100 years. Yikes! No wonder the US is struggling.
House price comparison:
Despite all the comparisons to Japan, the US is actually doing worse than the former Asian powerhouse as house prices drop much further and faster - at least Japan had a slow descent.
Demographics and share prices.:
This chart shows the price earnings ratio of shares and the ratio of middle-aged to old-aged people - old people sell shares, middle-aged people buy them. As the number of old people rises, the valuation of shares fall - and that's what lies ahead of us.
Emerging? China and India are re-emerging. And so, we move on to 2012.