Wed 8 Feb, 2012 03:02 pm - I'm not sure what a "real numbers" scenario means. But too my surprise (I'm not a math person) I used an Excel spreadsheet and got both sets of numbers to work:
.03 (prior... (view)
Tue 7 Feb, 2012 03:32 pm -
I see the math and it works. But then the author says change the base rate to 80 % and the new answer is 94.1. Given his formula I can't make that work.
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Mon 6 Feb, 2012 09:29 am - In his book (Thinking Fast and Slow) Kahneman states: For example, if you believe that 3% of graduate students are enrolled in computer science (the base rate), and you also believe that the... (view)
