Mon 22 Oct, 2012 01:26 am - I am writing an academic paper (in a field related to social sciences). I am wondering how one can use technical language to explain why P(H1) = P(Hj)... (view)
Sun 21 Oct, 2012 08:05 pm - > Seems to me that your computation assumes independence:
I used the result on the third page of
http://web.as.uky.edu/statistics/users/viele/sta320u04/condprob.pdf
The result is that in... (view)
Sun 21 Oct, 2012 06:40 pm - > P(H2|fair and H1)
This is the probability the second flip results in Heads given the coin is fair and the first flip had resulted in Heads.
In other words, I am describing a decision... (view)
Sun 21 Oct, 2012 05:01 pm - In other words, my question is:
Is it the case that P(H1|information set at time 0) = P(Hj|information set at time 0) because H1 and Hj are assumed to be independent for all j > 1? Or is there... (view)
Sun 21 Oct, 2012 02:18 pm - Does this mean that events H1 and Hi are independent events? The thing is that if q is, say, 0, then the more Tails I see, the more likely it is that I have a biased coin. In other words, when... (view)
Sun 21 Oct, 2012 12:58 pm - Setup:
There are two coins in an urn: A fair coin and a biased coin that lands Heads with probability q. At time 0, we choose a coin at random, and then write down unconditional probabilities... (view)
