@Aaron1234,
Sorry. What I understand about macro economics is that nothing is static, and it cannot be measured. It's similar in trying to predict the stock market. Too many variables that affects how the market reacts. It's an art more than science.
Have you heard that some pundits are predicting that the stock market is going to lose 50 to 80% of its value this year? It's now over valued based on our GDP.
Who or what do you believe?