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Valuation with different discount rates

 
 
Reply Thu 8 Mar, 2012 11:35 am
Hello,
I'm valuating a start-up which is gonna launch a new technology. Because of that, I'm using a different, higher discount rate in the beginning of the cash flow, reflecting higher risk. The first 2 years present very negative cash flow. Because of that, the higher the rate I use in the beginning of the project, the higher the NPV, since the PV of the negative cash flow is gonna be less negative. It seems a contradiction for the investor to believe that the higher the rate he demands in the first years, the higher the company will be valued, and therefore the more money he will have to invest to keep a certain share of the company. What, if anything, am I doing wrong in this projection, and what could be a good and rational (not only mathematical) explanation for this apparent contradiction?
I'd highly appreciate any help!
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cicerone imposter
 
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Reply Thu 8 Mar, 2012 10:29 pm
@ldpedroso,
Whatever your business plan, always stay on the "conservative" side that you will be able to explain to your investors and financial institutions. You will get a better feel with experience in how to approach future budgets. Always start out with a five year plan, and revise them as needed.

Good luck.
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