@fishin,
What's even more interesting is that McCain has virtually caught up with Obama in the Electoral College polls...or at least
this one. Obama with 264 EV, McCain with 261 EV.
The Saddleback forum certainly is a major contributor, but I think Obama is a victim of his own campaign ineptitude. Voters are increasingly seeing him as simply another boring, ego-centric academic with extremely liberal leanings.
He's got great rhetoric about change (when he has writers drafting his speeches for him), but doesn't have the capacity or proven history to show he can really bring it about.
As I noted in another thread, I think voters really wanted change, but Obama is proving he's not it. And so voters default into proven leadership and experience, even if it might mean another four years of the status quo.