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Anyone know any good futurists?

 
 
View Profile Chumly
 
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Reply Mon 13 Apr, 2009 06:42 pm
Ray Kurzweil is probably best known for his early 80's sample based synthesis. The Kurzweil 250 in particular.

I don't find him overly convincing in his ability as a futurist, at least no more so than my above post as per:

a) cybernetics
b) bio engineering of people, pets, foods, etc
c) artificial intelligence
d) further global economic interdependence
e) further massive ecological destruction / poisoning of ecosystems
f) further resource depletion
g) further electronic miniaturization / sophistication
h) life extension

Part of the problem being the unpredictability of not only the application of present technologies, but the unpredictability of "break-through science" both of which would have to be taken in the context of the unpredictability of socio-economic change.

Rather a tall order! Especially in the light of the real possibility that human nature itself may come under direct control.
View Profile aperson
 
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Reply Tue 14 Apr, 2009 04:38 am
His what now?

I hadn't thought about that last bit. I suppose we can't accurately predict how AI will behave (I'm ignoring GE because I think that it won't improve fast enough to be better than machine-based technology.)
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